1. Mai 2026//  Scott Ritter: EUROPE STRIKE NEXT – Behind America  https://wp.me/paI27O-6FZm     https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2chBQRBVtek

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Scott Ritter, 1. Mai 26, mit Glenn Diesen

0:00 Willkommen zurück. Wir begrüßen heute Scott Ritter, ehemaligen UN-Waffeninspektor, Geheimdienstoffizier des US Marine Corps und Autor.

0:10 Vielen Dank, dass Sie wieder in der Sendung sind. Vielen Dank für die Einladung.

0:14 Wir sehen ja, dass die Europäer ziemlich laut und stolz – möchte ich hinzufügen – über all die Drohnen sprechen, die sie in die Ukraine schicken, um gegen Russland zu kämpfen.

0:25 Gleichzeitig gibt es aber auch Berichte, wie wir alle wissen, dass einige der Drohnen, die die russische Ostseeküste getroffen haben, aus den baltischen Staaten und Finnland stammen.

0:35 Und wir sehen jetzt, dass das russische Verteidigungsministerium diese Liste europäischer Einrichtungen veröffentlicht hat, die potenzielle Ziele russischer Angriffe sind, da sie Drohnen produzieren, die für Angriffe auf Russland eingesetzt werden.

Ich habe sogar gesehen, wie der Sekretär des russischen Sicherheitsrates, Seshu, argumentierte, Russland habe das Recht auf

Selbstverteidigung, da die Angriffe von europäischem Territorium aus erfolgen.

Was halten Sie davon?

Ist das alles nur heiße Luft, oder glauben Sie, dass da etwas dran ist?

Sie werden tatsächlich anfangen, ihre Bemühungen zur Wiederherstellung der Abschreckung zu verstärken?

Ich denke, Russland will diesen Konflikt

noch in diesem Jahr beenden. Ähm, ich glaube, sie haben Pläne für diesen Sommer. Wissen Sie,

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der russische Ansatz war schon immer, eine Eskalation zu vermeiden und sich auf die Erfüllung der Mission zu konzentrieren.

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sie haben zugelassen, dass sogenannte rote Linien überschritten wurden, weil man strategisch mehr verlieren würde, wenn man

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als überreagierend wahrgenommen würde. Man könnte die Unterstützung für die Ukraine, die sonst schwindet, mobilisieren oder verstärken.

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Ähm, ich denke, diesmal ist es jedoch anders. Wir sehen, dass das, was bisher im Verborgenen geschah, nun offizielle Politik ist. Wir sehen in
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Rammstein: Nationen prahlen mit ihrer Rolle, und dass dies zu einem faktischen Stellvertreterkrieg geworden ist.
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2 Minuten, 26 Sekunden: Wenn wir von Drohnen sprechen, meinen wir nicht die taktischen Drohnen auf dem Schlachtfeld, sondern Drohnen, die für strategische Angriffe tief im russischen Territorium eingesetzt werden.
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2 Minuten, 34 Sekunden: Dies ist ein nicht tragfähiges Modell für Russland, und ich denke, dass
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2 Minuten, 42 Sekunden: Es ist an der Zeit, dass Russland Verantwortung übernimmt und Europa
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2 Minuten, 49 Sekunden: Versteht, dass unverantwortliches Handeln seinen Preis hat. Was Europa tut, damit es jeder versteht, ist ein Akt der Kriegsführung. Es ist nicht so, dass

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Europa hier unschuldig ist. Sie sind aktiv an einem Konflikt beteiligt. Sie planen diese Angriffe. Diese Drohnen

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werden in dem Wissen produziert, dass sie an Ukrainer weitergegeben werden, die dann die von Europa bereitgestellten Geheimdienstinformationen nutzen werden, um Russlands

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Tiefen anzugreifen. Ähm, und wie ich bereits sagte, glaube ich, dass dies ein nicht nachhaltiges Modell ist, und ich denke, das

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russische Verteidigungsministerium und der russische Sicherheitsrat haben deutlich gemacht, dass es Konsequenzen geben wird, wenn dies so weitergeht. Also, ich denke, das ist der Stand der Dinge im Moment.

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Ja, es ist schon seltsam, dass das so ist. Ich habe dieses Argument selbst vorgebracht, denn

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man sollte den eingeschlagenen Weg etwas vorsichtiger betrachten, aber es wird heutzutage fast schon zu leichtfertig abgetan, was irgendwie seltsam ist, denn

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der Grund, warum die meisten europäischen Staaten nie Waffen an ein Land in einem Krieg geliefert haben, ist, dass

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die Europäer dadurch zu Konfliktteilnehmern geworden wären. Doch nun sehen wir, dass die Beteiligung so tiefgreifend ist wie möglich.

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bis zu dem Punkt, an dem die Ukrainer möglicherweise nur eine sehr geringe Rolle spielen werden. Und doch wird die ganze Idee, dass

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die Europäer zu Teilnehmern werden oder bereits Teilnehmer geworden sind, einfach als russische Propaganda abgetan. Das ist es, was man sagt, wenn man etwas

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verdrängen will. Es ist schockierend, aber was halten Sie für möglich? Sehen Sie einen möglichen Warnschlag

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zuerst gegen Estland oder Finnland? Oder denken Sie, dass sie etwas Größeres unternehmen werden und beispielsweise die wichtigen Logistikzentren in Deutschland angreifen?

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Ich bin nicht derjenige, der die russische Regierung in irgendeiner Weise berät. Ähm, ich denke, Warnschläge wären

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unbedeutend und eigentlich, ähm, ich meine, wenn man ein NATO-Land angreift

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oder wie man so schön sagt: Wenn man den König angreifen will, dann tötet man den König. Ähm, ich denke, Russland hat einen Schuss, und ähm, der sollte

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ein verheerender Schuss sein, der ähm, die gesamte vom russischen Verteidigungsministerium identifizierte Zielliste ausschaltet, und zwar

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der ähm, das Potenzial Europas, seine Ziele, seine erklärten Ziele und Absichten zu erreichen,

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ähm, die Ukraine mit Drohnen zu beliefern, die als Stellvertreter gegen Russlands strategische Tiefe eingesetzt werden sollen. Es sendet auch

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das Signal, dass ähm, Russland die Zielliste jederzeit ändern kann, und das Ergebnis wird dasselbe sein. Ich denke, Europa muss

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darauf hingewiesen werden, dass es in der Königsklasse spielt. Man steigt in den Ring gegen einen Schwergewichtskämpfer, und der schlägt einen einfach K.o.

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aus. Denn sonst wird das nur ein Krieg der kleinen Schritte bleiben,

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der nichts lösen wird. Außerdem definiert man durch ein entscheidendes Vorgehen die Debatte grundlegend.

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Jetzt muss Europa Taten folgen lassen. Und Europa wird feststellen, dass es einfach nicht gegen Russland Krieg führen kann. Es ist nicht in der Lage,

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gegen Russland Krieg zu führen. Es hat nicht die Ressourcen. Dann wird Europa also auch darüber debattieren müssen, ob sie

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in einer Zeit existenzieller Wirtschaftskrise alles stehen und liegen lassen und eine europäische Armee wiederaufbauen werden, die

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nicht existiert und nicht existieren wird. Die Vereinigten Staaten ziehen sich ja zurück. Ich glaube nicht, dass die Vereinigten Staaten Verständnis für die Europäer haben werden, die

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das getan haben. Das ist im Grunde ein Akt der Kriegsführung. Und so, wissen Sie, ich, die

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Europäer, denke ich, hoffen auf schrittweises Vorgehen, das dazu führen kann, die Vereinigten Staaten wieder ins Spiel zu bringen. Ähm,

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wissen Sie, je länger eine Debatte andauert, die ergebnisoffen ist, ähm, desto wahrscheinlicher sind negative Folgen, was

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das Ergebnis betrifft. Äh, aber wenn man Europa, wissen Sie, eine blutige Nase präsentiert und die Tatsache, dass man bereit ist,

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zurückzuschlagen, ähm, und die Vereinigten Staaten sich das nun ansehen müssen, dann macht man alles ganz klar mit einem

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entscheidenden Schlag. Und so denke ich, dass die Zeit für einen entscheidenden Schlag gekommen ist. Ähm, ich glaube nicht, dass die Russen diese Liste veröffentlichen würden und Sergej Schyu

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das sagen würde, was er sagt, wenn die Russen nicht auf einen entscheidenden Schlag vorbereitet wären.

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Nun, wenn es wieder ein großer Schlag wird, nicht nur gegen die baltischen Staaten Finnland, sondern äh, vor allem

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auch gegen Deutschland. Äh, die große Frage ist, was die Amerikaner tun würden? Also, äh

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in letzter Zeit haben wir all diese äh Tweets von Trump gesehen, dass die NATO ein Papiertiger ist. Ihr äh, ihr wisst,

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habt nichts für uns getan. Wir werden nicht für euch da sein. Glaubst du, sie würden es einfach ignorieren oder würde es so aussehen?

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… nun ja, wie würde die Reaktion der Vereinigten Staaten aussehen? Im Grunde genommen wäre es nichts, oder sie würden alles auf eine Karte setzen. Nun ja, ich bezweifle mittlerweile das mit dem All-in, aber äh äh…

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… dann wäre die NATO im Grunde am Ende, wenn sie nichts unternehmen würden, oder Trump wäre damit vielleicht einverstanden. Also äh, was meinst du?

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Scott Ritter , 1.Mai 26, mit Glenn Diesen   Formularbeginn

Formularende

0:00  Welcome back. We are joined today by Scott Ritter, a former UN weapons inspector, a US Marine Corps intelligence officer, and an author. So,

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thank you as always for coming back on the program. Thank you very much for having me.

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Um, we see now that the Europeans are speaking quite loudly and proudly, I would add, about all the drones they’re sending uh to Ukraine to fight Russia.

0:25 25 Sekunden  But at the same time, there’s also reports now as we all know that some of the drones that have been hitting the Russian Baltic sea coast is coming from

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uh the Baltic states and uh andor Finland. And um we now see that the Russian Defense Ministry, it published

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this list of uh European facilities that are now potential targets of a Russian strikes as they’re producing drones which are being used to attack Russia.

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Now, I even saw the Russian Security Council uh Secretary Seshu making the point that Russia has the right for

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self-defense given that this are attacks from European territories. I I was wondering what do you make of all of

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this because is this, you know, hot air or do you think there is uh uh yeah,

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that they’re actually going to start to step up the efforts to restore their deterrent?

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I think that Russia is looking to bring an end to this conflict

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this year. Um I I think they have plans in store for this summer. Um you know,

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the Russian approach has always been to avoid escalation um and focus on mission accomplishment.

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uh that they’ve allowed so-called red lines to be crossed um because strategically you would lose more by uh

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being seen as overresponding. You might mobilize or stiffen support for Ukraine that is otherwise diminishing.

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Um I think this time however it’s different. Uh we we see that the you know what had been done in the shadows is now official policy. we see in

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Rammstein um nations bragging about the role they’re playing um that this has become a de facto proxy conflict and

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when we speak of drones you know we’re not talking about the tactical drones on the battlefield we’re talking about drones that are used to carry out strategic strikes in the depth of Russia

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um this is an unsustainable um model uh for Russia and um I think that

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you know the time has come for Russia to step up and um and make Europe

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understand there is a price to be paid for uh irresponsible activity. What Europe is doing, just so everybody understands, is an act of war. It’s not

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uh it’s it’s not that Europe’s an innocent party here. They are active participants in a conflict. uh they are planning these attacks. These drones

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that are being produced are being produced knowing that they’ll be given to Ukrainians who will then use European provided intelligence to strike Russia’s

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depth. Um and as I said, I I believe that this is unsustainable model and I think the uh

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Russian Ministry of Defense and the Russian Security Council have made it clear that there will be consequences um if this continues. So um I think that’s where we’re at right now.

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Yeah, it’s very strange that this is uh I I made this argument myself because,

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you know, to be a bit cautious about the path we’re going down, but uh it’s almost it’s very easily dismissed these days, which is kind of strange because

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the reason why most of these European states never supplied weapons to um to any country in a war would be because

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that would make the Europeans a participant to the conflict. Yet now we see the involvement as deep as it can be

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to the point uh where yeah the Ukrainians will play a very minimal role potentially and yet the whole idea that

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the Europeans are becoming participants or have become participant is just rejected as Russian propaganda which is what you say when you want to make a uh

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descent go away but so it is shocking but what do you see being the possible do you see a possible warning strike

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first against Estonia or Finland or do you think they will do something larger going after the you know key logistic nodes in Germany for example?

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You know I’m not one to advise the Russian government on anything. Um, I think warning strikes would be um

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inconsequential and actually um I mean if you’re going to strike a NATO country

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or as they say if you’re going to strike the king, kill the king. Um, I think Russia gets one shot and uh it should be

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a devastating shot that um takes out the totality of the target set identified by the Russian Ministry of Defense in a way

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that uh completely obliterates the the potential of Europe to carry out their goals, their stated goals and objectives

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of um supplying Ukraine with drones to be used in a proxy manner against Russia’s strategic depth. It also sets

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the signal that um you know Russia can change the the target deck anytime it wants to and the outcome will be the same. I think that Europe needs to be

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put on notice that they’re playing in the big boy arena. Uh you decide to step into the ring with a um super heavyweight fighter and he just knocked

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you out. Um because otherwise this this will just continue to be a war of incrementalism

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um that that will solve nothing. The other thing is by hitting decisive decisively you you fundamentally define

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the debate. Now it’s a put up or shut up time for Europe. Um and Europe will find out that they simply cannot go to war with Russia. They’re not positioned to

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go to war with Russia. They don’t have the resources. So then Europe will also have to have a debate about um are they

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going to drop everything in a time of existential economic crisis and um and rebuild a European army that cannot

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exist, does not exist, won’t exist. Um you know the United States is leaving. I don’t think the United States will have any sympathy for the Europeans for doing

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what they did. Um you know this is it’s fundamentally an act of war that is is is taking place. And so, you know, I the

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Europeans, I think, are hoping for incrementalism that can lead to um drawing the United States back in. Um,

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you know, the longer you have a debate that’s, you know, that that’s open-ended, um, the more likely bad things are going to happen in terms of

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the outcome. Uh but if you present Europe with, you know, a bloody nose and the fact that your your hand is cocked

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to hit him again, um and the United States now has to look at this, you you make everything very clear with a

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decisive strike. And so I think the time has come for a decisive strike. Um I don’t think the Russians would be publishing this list and Sergey Shyu

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would be saying what he’s saying if the Russians weren’t prepared for a decisive strike.

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Well, if it will be a large strike again, not just the Baltic states of Finland, but uh again primarily um

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Germany as well. Uh the big question is what would the Americans do? So, uh

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lately we’ve seen all this uh tweets by Trump that you know NATO’s a paper tiger. You haven’t uh you know you you

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didn’t do anything for us. We’re not going to be there for you. Do do you think do you think they would just ignore it alto together or would it be

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some well what would be the response of the United States essentially would be nothing or would be going allin well I’m doubting the allin by now but uh uh

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essentially NATO would be over then if they wouldn’t do anything or Trump might be fine with that so uh what do you

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expect the American reaction to be first of all

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this isn’t your classic um you know we were attacked, we want collective defense. This is selective na countries

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in NATO um acting in a manner outside of the NATO framework. Uh NATO as an institution has not made a decision to

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um provide drones. It’s a German decision. It’s a it’s a a British decision. It’s uh you know decision by individual nations. And so they legally

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it’s going to be hard to make the case that um you know that this that article 5 is even triggered. Um but at the end

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of the day too, you know, the United States knows more than anybody about fool around, find out. Um and here we

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have the Europeans fooling around. And if Russia makes them find out, I don’t see the United States rallying to their cause. I actually see Donald Trump saying, „You brought it upon yourself.“

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Um, this was stupid policy. We told you to seek peace. Instead, you promoted this war. Um, and you weren’t there when

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we needed you. We’re not going to come now. Your honor, I think this is the end of NATO. And I think that’s another thing that’s going to go into the calculation of Russia is the accelerated

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death of NATO. Um, by launching a strike. Of course, it’s a gamble. I mean, who knows how things will happen.

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Europe may rally and United States comes back and NATO unifies. Um but I think all indicators are that that’s not going

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to be the case and I think that the Russians are looking for a decisive summer and um the decisive summer will

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come I believe with um you know offenses in the Donbas region that will bring back um the totality of the Dumbbass

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plus uh deeper penetrations. Um, and I think it will be putting NATO on notice or Europe on notice that Russia’s done

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playing games that if they want to, you know, you you can only sit there and threaten Russia with war so many times before Russia actually says, „Okay,

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let’s do it.“ Um, I think Russia’s at the okay, let’s do it standpoint,

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especially, look, they’re their their economy is doing quite well right now thanks to um the global energy crisis.

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And no matter how this shakes out, you know, Russia now has fixed a lot of their economic problems that might have

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held the hand of the Russian government uh before out of fear that a conflict with Europe could trigger an even deeper

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economic crisis. Um I don’t think Russia is afraid of that right now. I think all conditions are green for Russia to strike uh Europe if it continues this policy.

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Well, as all of this is happening, uh,

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and I think one of the reasons, of course, the the Europeans might be escalating now is that, uh, while the war isn’t going well, and, uh, it

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appears the the spring offensive of the Russians is now going or has started.

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Uh, do you see this as well or is it too premature?

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Well, I see indications. It’s um I wouldn’t go to Las Vegas and put uh my my uh mortgage on on anything at this

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point in time. Um but Russia has been you know preparing

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the battlefield if you you know follow what’s going on. I I follow um you know a very good Russian uh journalist who

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publishes Substack page um that um you know provides updates on the battlefield with very good maps and explanation of

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what the Russians are doing and what you see the Russians have been painstakingly uh setting up the front for a major

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effort by taking critical terrain, key terrain uh cutting lines of uh communication um and by um attr ing the

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Ukrainians, uh, you know, low luring the Ukrainians into counterattacks, um, you know, you know, having well thoughtout

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cause and effect actions, uh, doing something on the assumption Ukraine would then counterattack and then receiving that counterattack and u

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and, uh, and and destroying the Ukrainian force and that thereby eliminating reserves. Ukraine has no reserves now because of these ridiculous

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counterattacks that they’ve been undertaking. And the Russians have continued to prepare the battlefield for what logically would be a an offensive

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um designed to no idea what we’re thinking, but there we go.

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uh Sylvan in the last two uh big populated areas in

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Dumbbast if that urban belt falls all of Donbass falls. So um I think that’s the goal this summer is to bring an end to

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the issue of the Donbass. Um meaning that it’s no longer a question of Ukraine giving up territory. Russia is going to take it.

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Well, I got a feeling that um the the European uh enthusiasm about sending

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more money, weapons, and partaking more and more directly in this war uh that part of this was held back by the

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Hungarians um Urban specifically blocking a lot of the the military aid

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uh which was supposed to be sent to Ukraine. Now that Orban was defeated,

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um what do you think would be the significance of this? Because it’s I think some people might have exaggerated

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how much of a europile the uh the new president is, but uh so the new prime minister is but uh but it’s still it’s

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quite significant that uh um the new leadership of Hungary might define Hung Hungary’s uh national interest um somewhat different from what Orban did.

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Look,

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who cares? I mean, I I I I don’t mean to be too, but but who cares? Uh so what Europe now is going to be able to spend

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90 billion euro on uh on Ukraine? Um where does that money go? Um you know,

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is this money going to actually bolster Ukrainian uh capabilities? Are they going to provide Ukraine with the

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patriot air defense systems they Ukraine says they need? Uh where are the patriots going to come from? The United States isn’t providing any patriots to

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Europe. All patriots are being diverted to American use. Um so I just think that this is a lot of talk. The the reality

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is on the battlefield and nothing that happened in Hungary is going to impact what’s going on in the battlefield.

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Nothing whatsoever. This is all in, you know, inside baseball European wannabism. The fact of the matter is the

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Hungarian elections don’t um do anything to resolve the fundamental dysfunction of Europe. I mean, yes, so they can they

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can pass a 90 billion dollar aid package. Uh but it doesn’t solve Frantic problems, Germany’s problems, uh England’s problems. Uh these problems still exist. Um it doesn’t, you know,

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bring an end to the economic crisis. It doesn’t resolve the energy security issues. Um, you know, the the uh International Energy Agency says that

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Europe runs out of aviation gas in six weeks. That’s right in the middle of summer travel season. What happens when

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the entire European aviation industry is grounded? What’s that do to the economy?

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How does Orban affect that? Orbond doesn’t affect anything? Nothing. This is just theater and it’s always been

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theater. This is dysfunction in the extreme. uh Europe isn’t going to suddenly be, you know, united with resolve and going to be able to do

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things. Um still getting that turning that 90 billion into something. You’re still dealing with an inherently corrupt Ukrainian government that’s, you know,

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falling apart as we speak, fighting amongst themselves. All you do is encourage corruption. I’m glad they got

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this resolved because now we get to watch what happens to the 90 billion euro and how quickly that disappears and how little impact it has on anything.

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and then Europe may wake up to the fact that nothing they do is going to turn the situation around in Ukraine.

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Yeah. No, that’s No, it’s excellent point. I often made that myself. That is uh all this money they don’t really

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have, but they have to use it for buying American weapons, which Americans can’t sell anymore. If they’re running short before, they have to spend it on the

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Middle East. And uh anyways um key problem in Ukraine appears to be the manpower issue. Uh but the Europeans

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appear to wanting to help in that area too. There we see uh Chancellor Mertz um well seemingly agreeing to Silinski’s

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demands of expelling refugees so they can send them back to Ukraine to fill up the trenches which is another

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goes under the label of or banner of a pro- Ukrainian policy by it’s a yes quite extreme what what they’re doing

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but uh um I wanted to ask how how overall do you think now the the war in

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Iran has affected the the war in uh Ukraine because besides the weapons being diverted uh you know Ukraine being

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taken out of the headlines uh are there any other problems uh or impacts of the war?

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The biggest one’s economic you’ve already taken a very bad um energy security situation in Europe and you’ve

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turned it into an absolute disaster. um you know, in order to resolve this,

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they’re going to have to buy energy that doesn’t exist on a on a spot market.

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They’re going to be gouged. Uh so you’re taking a continent that already is kneedeep in economic problems. You’re making it deep in economic problems. Um

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and you know, it it it’s going to make European industry more dysfunctional. Um it’s going to create internal political,

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you know, riffs inside an already divided Europe. Um I think the big thing out of uh this war for Europe was the

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economy. The the second thing of course is um the I think the permanent damage that’s been done between the United

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States and Europe. Um the end of NATO um I think NATO is over. Um that I I don’t think there’s any trust between Europe

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and the United States um for any number of reasons. I mean, the United States has not been a trustworthy ally, but you know, and the United States created an impossible situation for Europe,

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demanding that they respond to uh, you know, to to the Iranian cris crisis, a crisis Europe didn’t want. Uh, but, you know, Trump is holding it against them.

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He’s literally the boy who’s taking the ball and going home. Um, and I think that’s problematic, too, because now Europe is confronted for the first time

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with the necessity of having to uh defend itself. You know, in the past there was theoretical discussions about

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what would happen if the United States walked away. Well, the United States is walking away and Europe knows that. So now they’re having the uncomfortable

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discuss and Europe is realizing they don’t have anything. Europe has nothing.

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There’s no army. There’s no defense industry. There’s no air force. Without the United States, Europe is literally nothing. And now they, you know, and yet

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they are involved in a proxy war with Russia using drones. Um, I think this is the other big thing is the absolute

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um realization of how little power Europe has from a military standpoint.

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Yeah. No, it’s I I I don’t always understand what what what the strategies. So you would think at that point in time when the Americans start

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pulling back and essentially you know the big um yeah the big American support behind you goes away you’re you know you

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would be a bit more cautious uh the way you approach other great powers such as Russia but it doesn’t seem to affect the

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posture though the still doing the same as it did before. Um but on on the topic of Iran u do you think this might be

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coming to an end now? I think we all watched the well it’s we don’t have to take everything Trump says too seriously but

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uh you know he seems to think the war is coming to an end the you know the Iranians did say that the straight of moose are is open but uh you know the

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way they defined open is very different from uh what Trump is describing which sounds like an unconditional surrender

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for the Iranians. So what do you think is happening at at this moment?

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What’s happening is exactly what I said is going to be happening. Um, we have two realities in the world. We have the the real geopolitical reality that is

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what the ground truth is in Iran. The United States and Israel lost for war.

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They didn’t accomplish any of their objectives. They hold no leverage over Iran whatsoever. Iran holds all the cards. Um, the US has reached the

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capacity of its ability to escalate conventionally without crossing into outright war crimes. Uh, this is why Donald Trump

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you know, chose to, you know, move towards a ceasefire, a ceasefire that Iran didn’t want but was pressured into accepting because of China who is

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suffering economically from most conflict. Um,

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so you know, you have the the Iranian reality, then you have the American reality, which is really centered on

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Donald Trump’s ego. This is a political problem for Donald Trump. This isn’t a national security problem for the United States.

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uh we’re not trying to, you know, solve the giant uh international foreign policy crisis. We’re trying to solve a

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domestic political crisis for the president because he entered a war he said he would never enter and he lost.

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Um he can’t admit he lost. So now what has been happening I I said that you know the the negotiations that took

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place almost a week ago um almost succeeded in having a final treaty but politically Trump couldn’t accept this

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because to accept that treaty on the in during the timing and the conditions put forward would mean that the United States is acknowledging defeat. So Trump

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scuttled this agreement and then went on a week of posturing and that posturing was designed to create um the perception

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of American power that America is compelling Iran to do things. Um but what Iran is doing are things that were

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already agreed to in the in the Islamabad memorandum of understanding that was almost signed uh but Trump killed it. There’s this is just game.

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This is act of political theater. What we see the president doing is trying to create the impression that without his decisive intervention, without his massive blockade, without his threats,

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um none of this would be happening. This is all happening because of him. Um and the Iranians are just basically

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concluding the agreement. I think there’s too many people that take a look at what’s happening and um and accept Trump’s um statements at face value. the

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the reality is nothing his statements say conform to reality to to what’s actually going on. Um the straight of hormuz isn’t open. The straight of

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hormuz um has been selectively open. Uh the Iranians are in control. They dictate what passes through, how it

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passes through, and what uh things are charged. Um you know, Trump can claim that, you know, he’s the one responsible, but the bottom line is it’s

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the straight of Hormuz is opened under terms that are acceptable to Iran. terms that Iran put on the table. The other thing I want to remind people is um while all this theater is going on,

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there are technical teams in Islamabad that have been at work ever since these negotiations began finalizing clarifying

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the you know the the technical details of what will be an eventual peace treaty. But I again in

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unless something very bad happens politically to Donald Trump um he can’t go on with this war. It’s a

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political it’s politically devastating for him. The American economy will suffer. Um and you know we know in

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elections it’s the economy stupid. Um and so you know Trump uh has no choice but to find peace. He’s just finding it

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use in his own little weird Trumpian way where he has to convince um a portion of the American public that um he’s playing

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5D chess and that he uh he’s a genius and that everything he does is brilliant and uh none of this outcome would have happened without his intervention.

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Meanwhile, the Iranians just deal with reality.

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Yeah, I noticed the the way this has been reported on, you see a clear split.

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That is uh what can now almost be described as the MAGA cult. They see this confirming it as a massive victory.

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But it is a good point. I mean, he he keeps lying over and over again. And yet we should uh somehow take everything at face value. It doesn’t really make uh

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much sense. But if the United States uh under Trump now decides that they will go back to essentially yeah total war or

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at least a uh yeah this full intensive war with Iran. How how long can the US go on now? Because uh from what I

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understand there’s been a lot of flights into the region over the ceasefire. A lot of the stocks have been replenished.

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um h how much well what is the fighting power and versus the restraint on how long the US can keep this going.

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Well, you know there’s a a saying that’s attributed to u Albert Einstein. I don’t know if it’s actually him or not. Uh but

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um the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different outcome. The United States lost the war. Remember,

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they started with all the precision guided strike weapons they wanted, all the defense capabilities they had, and they got beat. So, you’re telling me

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they’ve restocked the same capabilities that they just got beat on. And so, what are they going to do differently this

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time? Um, their target deck is is totally diminished. Anything of value was struck. Anything of retained value

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has been evacuated. They don’t have a target deck. So, they’re just going to blow up buildings to blow up buildings,

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which is what they were doing near the end of this conflict to begin with. Um,

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so that’s not victory. They can’t re the more they bomb, the stronger the regime gets. There’s no regime change there.

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And Iran has shown that these underground missile cities are pretty much invulnerable and that they continue to launch missiles and there’s nothing the United States can do uh to prevent

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that. Um, and remember, while the United States has been replenishing, so too have the Iranians. They’ve been, you know, building more missiles, more

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missiles, more missiles. um they’ve been repairing um and so what we’re just going to start where we left off with

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Iran inflicting huge damage on uh US bases on nations that support the United

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States on Israel and then in the end the United States confronted with the fact that its normal strike packages don’t um

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cause any change in the Iranian behavior will threaten to strike energy targets and um and then the rest of the Arab world will step in and say you can’t

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because then they’ll strike us and it’s all over. We lose everything. Um, and you know, the Saudis aren’t happy about this. Nobody. I think the United

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Emirates might be the only country that’s happy about what the US is doing, but that’s because they have no choice.

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They’re facing uh their own existential uh crisis. So, I I I just I can’t

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imagine Trump doing this because this would be the war that cements the fact that he lost. uh there will be no

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recovery from this. Um our economy, the global economy will collapse. Um again,

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I just want to ask people to think what happens when all European airlines shut down.

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It’s not about tourism, people. That’s how things are moved. That’s how commerce is done. Uh trade is done. Uh

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and if you’re shutting down that, you’re remember as goes aviation fuel, so goes diesel fuel. So you’re you’re going to

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be seeing a reduction in the ability of trucks to transport. It’s the end of the European economy. The European economy

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will not function. Um and the same thing’s going to happen to the United States.

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So Trump can’t continue this disastrous model in perpetuity. Iran literally holds all the cards. Um, and so Trump

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has to be smart enough to know that uh the lies that Pete Haggath told him in the first phase are are still lies today. Nothing’s changed to suddenly

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make it the truth. Um, this is why I think that you’re seeing uh Trump be so aggressive because remember half the

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play here is Trump’s ability to convince um uh a significant portion of the

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American audience that you know he was this decisive player here that without him we wouldn’t have a peaceful outcome.

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Um and so there’s this theater taking place right now.

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Yeah, I think it went on social media wrote something along those lines. if he wasn’t president now, the world would be

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ripped apart or something along these lines, which is usually the kind of thing you hear from an arsonist

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masquerading as a fireman. But uh uh but one other area though where all of this could spread the war further would be

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the Chinese aspect because it seems that the blockade on Iran uh to some extent at least is aimed to target China given

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that they are uh well overwhelmingly so the main importer of Iranian oil and we also heard some comments from a um

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American senator and also Bessant that uh yeah the Chinese shouldn’t get oil and Uh yeah, this was kind of part of

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the objective, but also threats of sanctioning Chinese banks for trading with Iran. It looks whether or not this was initially an objective or if it’s

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just becoming a uh yeah a side effect, it nonetheless seems to be intensifying or worsening

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the relations between the US and China as well. uh not the best move probably given the problems uh they’re facing

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already with Russia and Iran. But uh do you think this is contained or do you how do you expect the Chinese to respond to this if the blockade continues?

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Well, first of all, we need to understand that this oil, this issue of oil um and energy security for China is a very sensitive one because uh

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basically this war has exposed the soft underbelly of the Chinese economy which is sustainable supply of um of energy.

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Um you know Iran the lack the the the cutting of Iranian oil to China is significant. Um there hasn’t been

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replacements found. China needs this energy. Um and this now has caused a different stance. The Chinese have been

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quite articulate in saying do not challenge the dragon on issues of sovereignty. Um you know Bessing can say what he wants. They can sanction banks.

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uh they have to be careful because China’s loaded for bear and um you know there’s a lot of cards China can play

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economically now that this has become an existential issue because you know in the past China wanted to avoid you know um you know econ you know causing

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economic difficulties on the periphery of a of a larger well functioning Chinese economy but left unressed the uh

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issue of energy security could you know uh cause great harm to the Chinese economy so I don’t think the Chinese are messing around. First of all, how many

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Chinese tankers has the United States turned around? The answer is none. Um,

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you know, so I I I think again this is rhetoric on the part of um the United States. I think the impact is zero. I

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don’t think we’ve stopped one Chinese flagged vessel, nor do I think we are going to stop any Chinese flagged vessels um because there is no legal

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justification for this. And and China has been very strict. You know, the United Arab Emirates sent a team, high level delegation to uh to meet with the

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Chinese and they started to lecture the Chinese about Iran and the need to cut back support and they were cut off and the Chinese foreign ministry said, „You

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don’t get to tell the dragon what to do with it, you know, with it foreign relations. We do what we want to do when we want. We’ve been friends, but you

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know, not friends enough that you get to tell us what to do.“ Um, and and this is the Chinese approach right now. So I I think again

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Scott Besson first of all you have to understand we don’t have a well thoughtout plan. Um if we did we would have executed it up front. Uh this is a

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plan that’s being made up as it goes along. Um you know and again it’s designed to shape perception not reality. The perception is that the president put China in its place.

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The reality is the president’s words and American action haven’t impacted this at all. China continues to get a flow of

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energy from Iran and the United States hasn’t been able to stop that.

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If this is compelling China to take a more forceful stand in international in the international system, that’s quite a

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horrible achievement to be made given that for decades now they they kind of had us as key strategy not to create too

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many waves, not to raise their voice too much in the inter international system in order not to, you know, invoke any

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great power rivalry. But uh if they’re put in a situation like this where they’re now forced to take some action,

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I mean this is a yeah this is a disaster if one wanted a benign China. Um just my last question though is about um

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you know behind all the bluster I mean all these statements by Trump uh we they’re going to they’re going to give up all of their uranium and rich uranium

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status Iranians and we’re going to give them nothing back. They’re not going to get any money. I mean behind all this it

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doesn’t make much sense. So behind all of this is there any negotiations going on which gives you any reason for optimism either with Iran or Russia for

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that sake or is diplomacy you know does it seem dead at this point?

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Well we know for a fact that um the peace talks in Islamabad never ended. Uh JD Vance and Witkov and Kushner went

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home. Um the the senior Iranian delegation went home. But uh both sides left um a number of technical experts

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who are continuing to work out, you know, the finalized the Islamabad memorandum of understanding as a final

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deal. Um and and so, you know, I I I I think there’s a I think there’s a

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deal here. I think um we’re going to see a deal. Um, I I think, you know, Donald Trump just has to create the perception

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that he u that this deal wouldn’t have happened without his uh without his decisive um intervention.

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Well, that would be um often his uh you know his uh crazy comments, they seem irrational, but it could be a rational

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move if um if it’s in an expectation of a deal being made because uh if he

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thinks a deal is going to be made, the one of biggest constraint would be to sell a defeat to the US to the American public because you know he as you said

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before he’s got a midterm coming up. But if if he can do enough, you know, chest beating and uh, you know, strongman poses before the the the peace deal,

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then perhaps this will help him sell a defeat as a victory. So it maybe he knows what he’s doing. I get the impression often that he’s a bit all over the place and getting more erratic.

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But uh I’m hoping I’m wrong. Uh uh but yeah, how about the Russian issue then?

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Because we haven’t really heard much more of the negotiations. Uh I mean there’s still talks but uh I get the

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impression from Moscow that they not putting much uh weight into this anymore that they don’t really think it’s going to move to anywhere significant.

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I I think I mean again this this is this is analysis done um in a vacuum because there’s as you said there’s not much data out there to uh put your hands on.

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My feeling is that Donald Trump has given the Russians a blank check. Um,

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and has said do what you need to do to get to where you need to get. Um, and we, you know,

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the window is not going to be open forever. Uh but you know I think Trump has said you you have you know

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this year uh and you have until the November election or right before the November election uh to to turn what

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Trump wants I believe is a Ukrainian peace deal that he can present to the American people before the midterm

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elections. Uh so he can now become the peace. This is his whole theme right now. my decisive intervention leads to

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world peace. Um and I you know he keeps talking about you know we have overseen the greatest reset of the world etc. Um,

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I I think that Trump has a completely hands-off posture on uh on Ukraine and has basically given the Russians an open

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door to do whatever they need to do to get this thing wrapped up so that uh come, you know,

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August uh the there won’t be a discussion about Ukraine giving up territory because Russia will have taken

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1. Um and I think you’ll see a more fundamentally uh weakened in chest and

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um chasened um Ukraine and Europe. Um again I I think a Russian a decisive

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Russ Russian strike against Europe would be extraordinarily demoralizing for Europe and um and and could help push Europe

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into accepting the necessity of a of a peace treaty. So that’s what I think is happening right

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now. Uh I think you know Trump wants Trump needs this war to come to an end politically and this is all about politics. This is all about the politics

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of Donald Trump. And so I think he’s basically given the Russians just telling the Russians we’re not

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interfering. you do what you need to do and uh and then if the results get to where we can bring you know what we hope

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you do is you know create the results uh that you know make many of the Ukrainian objections moot and then we can um finalize it.

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Yeah. Well, it appears that it might be more coming to an end now in in Ukraine that is well not it can still go on for many months but uh uh I don’t think it’s

39:31

39 Minuten, 31 Sekunden

going to be possible to you know it seems like the van is only shifting in Russia’s favor so it’s going to be impossible to turn this around

39:39

39 Minuten, 39 Sekunden

especially after the consequences of the Iran war. So,

39:42

39 Minuten, 42 Sekunden

it still surprises me that none of the Europeans are picking up the phone to call the Kremlin and uh at least start to talk about uh you know possible solutions. But um yeah, here we are.

39:54

39 Minuten, 54 Sekunden

Anyways, uh thank you very much for taking the time.

Was passiert wirklich hinter den Kulissen der Corona-Enquete? | Dr. Nehls & Dr. Pfeil  https://wp.me/paI27O-6FN 

Inszinierte Krisen: Warum der Iran-Konflikt künstlich erzeugt wurde – Daniele Ganser

Es geht um Greater Israel und um einen großen Raum für die USA…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I8X2EAJTt8Q

Hochinteressante Diskussion zwischen Ulrike Guerot mit einem AfD Abgeordneten

https://philosophia-perennis.com/2026/04/30/das-war-eine-oeffentliche-hinrichtung-prof-ulrike-guerot-trifft-petr-bystron/

„Das war eine öffentliche Hinrichtung“ – Prof. Ulrike Guerot trifft Petr Bystron

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4C6co5qXEE4

China Draws the Line in the Gulf: A Direct Warning to America | Prof. Jiang Xueqin

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9rGEcQEUvow 

MV der IPPNW 2026 in Jena

Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,
liebe Freundinnen und Freunde,

am Wochenende hat das IPPNW-Jahrestreffen und -Mitgliederversammlung mit 120 Teilnehmer*innen im schönen Jena unter tatkräftiger Unterstützung der Jenaer Regionalgruppen- und Studierendengruppe stattgefunden.
Eine Dokumentation finden Sie auf unserer Homepage https://www.ippnw.de/aktiv-werden/termine/ippnw-jahrestreffen/ippnw-jahrestreffen-2026.html

Hier noch eine Zusammenfassung des Vortrags von Prof. Klaus Dörre von Stefan Teweleit (IPPNW Jena) sowie eine Zusammenfassung des Vortrags von Prof. Varwick auf dem Workshop „Entspannungspolitik 2.0“.
Letzteren Vortrag haben wir auch als Video aufgezeichnet, das wir veröffentlichen werden, sobald es geschnitten ist. Die Dokumentations-Seite wird fortlaufend ergänzt.

Die Beschlüsse der Mitgliederversammlung finden Sie im digitalen Büro der IPPNW unter https://ippnw.xn--digitalesbro-mlb.org/index.php/s/cWHKkXnNYrfLCDs
Erste Fotos vom Jahrestreffen gibt es hier:   https://www.flickr.com/photos/ippnw/albums/72177720333330031

Medienecho:

• Ostthüringer Zeitung, 26. April 2026 https://www.otz.de/lokales/jena/article411820919/aerzte-singen-in-jena-fuer-den-frieden.html (mit Bezahlschranke)
  https://archive.is/WDqJa (ohne Bezahlschranke)
• MDR, 26. April 2026 https://www.mdr.de/tv/programm/sendung-1106438.html (ab Minute 2:58)
• Jena TV 27. April 2026 https://www.jenatv.de/mediathek/84103/Singen_fuer_den_Frieden_Friedensorganisation_IPPNW_initiierte_Singen_vor_der_Stadtkirche.html

Im Folgenden noch unsere gestern versendete Pressemitteilung.

Mit freundlichen Grüßen

Angelika Wilmen

IPPNW-Pressemitteilung vom 21.04.2026

IPPNW-Jahrestreffen Jena
Friedensorganisation fordert Absage an Hochrüstung und Umkehr hin zu Diplomatie

Die medizinische Friedensorganisation IPPNW hat auf ihrem Jahrestreffen mit 120 Teilnehmer*innen ein grundsätzliches Umsteuern von der Kriegsvorbereitung hin zu einer Friedensorientierung gefordert.

„Die Missachtung internationaler Rechtsstandards hat sich in den letzten Monaten weiter verschärft. Der russische Angriff auf die Ukraine hält an, ebenso die andauernde Tötung und Vertreibung der palästinensischen Bevölkerung durch Israel. Die völkerrechtswidrigen Militärangriffe der USA und Israels gegen den Iran und den Libanon sowie die iranischen Gegenangriffe auf die Golfstaaten verschärfen die existentielle globale Krise internationaler Institutionen, allen voran der UN. Die wachsende Anzahl von Kriegen und die Ausbeutung unseres Planeten durch fossile Konzerninteressen und Regierungen aus den Ölstaaten, aus Russland und den USA zerstören unsere Lebensgrundlagen – direkt und indirekt“, heißt es in dem am Wochenende verabschiedeten Leitantrag.

Nach den absolut inakzeptablen Drohungen von US-Präsident Donald Trump mit der „Auslöschung der iranischen Zivilisation“ forderte die Friedensorganisation von der Bundesregierung die Vereidigung von Menschlichkeit und Rechtsstaatlichkeit: „In dieser existentiellen globalen Krise ist es inakzeptabel und gefährlich, dass die Bundesregierung sich dieser Entwicklung nicht entgegenstellt, sondern sie direkt oder indirekt mitträgt. Deshalb fordern wir von unserer Regierung eine Politik der Umkehr hin zu Diplomatie, Entspannungspolitik, Rüstungskontrolle und Abrüstung. Die Bundesregierung muss ihre Unterstützung der Kriege der USA und Israels beenden, die Waffenlieferungen an Israel einstellen und dem Beispiel Spaniens folgen und die Nutzung der US-Basen für die Kriegsführung gegen den Iran untersagen. Die Verteidigungsetats der NATO-Staaten sollen bis 2035 auf bis zu 5 Prozent des Bruttoinlandprodukts anwachsen. Für Deutschland würde dies bedeuten, dass künftig beinahe die Hälfte aller Bundesmittel ins Militär fließen müssten. Wir erteilen der Hochrüstung in der EU und NATO eine deutliche Absage.“

In einem weiteren Antrag hat sich die Mitgliederversammlung mit der Situation in Israel/Palästina beschäftigt: „Die zunehmende Annexion des Westjordanlandes, die humanitäre Katastrophe in Gaza und die Repression gegen Palästinenser*innen  gehen ungezügelt weiter.“ In dem Antrag wird die Bundesregierung aufgefordert, ihre Politik grundlegend zu ändern. „Die Politik der Rückendeckung für die israelische Regierung und des „Offenhaltens von Kanälen“ ist gescheitert. Es kann und wird keinen gerechten Frieden in Nahost geben, solange kein Selbstbestimmungsrecht für die Palästinenser*innen verwirklicht wird.“

Dr. Angelika Claußen, Co-Vorsitzende der IPPNW, erklärt: „Gerade als Expert*innen im Gesundheitswesen wissen wir, dass wir im Falle eines nuklearen Angriffs nicht werden helfen können. Deshalb macht uns das Auslaufen des letzten großen Rüstungskontrollvertrags New START so große Sorgen. Seitdem können die USA und Russland ungebremst nuklear aufrüsten. Wir müssen uns einer neuen Rüstungsspirale entgegenstellen. Eine erneuerte UNO und die Stärkung des Völkerrechts bleiben die beste Grundlage für die Abschaffung der Atomwaffen und die Durchsetzung des Atomwaffenverbotsvertrags als neue Norm.“

Den Auftakt des Kongresses bildete ein Vortrag von Klaus Dörre zum Thema „Nach der ‚Zeitenwende‘: Rüstung erzeugt Krieg“. Der emeritierte Professor für Arbeits-, Industrie- und Wirtschaftssoziologie an der Friedrich-Schiller-Universität Jena sprach über die umgekehrte Konversion: „Anstatt einer Rüstungskonversion erleben wir derzeit eine Konversion zur Rüstungsindustrie. Die Bundesregierung investiert Hunderte Milliarden, um Deutschland „kriegstauglich“ zu machen – von der Infrastruktur bis zu Krankenhäusern. Der sozial-ökologische Umbau bleibt dabei auf der Strecke. Wer die Rüstungsproduktion langfristig steigert, erhöht auch die Chancen für deren Einsatz.“

Die IPPNW-Jahreskonferenz bot neben einem umfangreichen Rahmenprogramm mit Vorträgen und Workshops zum Abschluss auch eine öffentliche Aktion für den Frieden. Unter dem Motto „Jena singt für den Frieden“ versammelten sich die Teilnehmer*innen des Jahrestreffens sowie interessierte Bürger*innen auf dem Kirchplatz. Zahlreiche Chöre, Musikgruppen und Solist*innen setzten mit ihrer Stimme ein Zeichen gegen Krieg und Gewalt und für Menschlichkeit und Zusammenhalt.

Weitere Informationen:
Leitantrag: Widerstand gegen das Recht des Stärkeren! Für Völkerrecht und Abrüstung!
Antrag: Frieden in Nahost (Westasien) und Gerechtigkeit für Palästina
—

https://ippnw.digitalesbüro.org/index.php/s/cWHKkXnNYrfLCDs?dir=/&editing=false&openfile=true 

1 MINUTE AGO: Turkey BLOCKS Israeli Navy — Netanyahu’s Reaction Goes VIRAL!

Erdogan mischt sich ein und spricht Klartext, dass Netanyahu den Krieg führt, um nicht ins Gefängnis zu kommen! Und auch deshalb viele, viele  Kriegsverbrechen begeht…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZiE5EURmSSE 

Dr. Andreas Peglau, Psychologe, Psychotherapeut, Psychoanalytikerhttps://andreas-peglau-psychoanalyse.de /kein-mensch-wird-als-schaf-geboren-zu-warum-schweigen-die-laemmer-von-rainer-mausfeld/

Kein Mensch wird als Schaf geboren. Zu „Warum schweigen die Lämmer?“ von Rainer Mausfeld.

18.4.26 I Predicted This War in 2024 — Now I Predict How It Will End | Prof. Jiang Xueqin

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xsfJ-YkTF70

17.4.26  Israel Situation Escalates Overnight — Military Issues New Response!

350 Israelische Soldaten gestern im Libanon beim Versuche, die Hisbollah zu besiegen, ohne Erfolg gestorben…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GLxjjbj4Q2s 

The „Gaokao“ System — Why Chinese Students OUTWORK American Ones

Extremer Stress in China bei den Studenten bei künstlicher Verknappung der Studienplätze, um sie zu Höchstleistungen anzuspornen…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SZLoCSkZXRs 

Russlands Botschafter im Theater OST: „Mit wem sollen wir einen Krieg anfangen?“

Sinnvolle Diskussion…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JeQVMOwjbq8 

Prof. Jiang Xueqin:  China Is Imploding (And It’s Much Worse Than War)  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A3bL6EiBbYc

Interessante Krisenberichte aus China. Ich glaube nicht daran, aber es ist Diskussionen und Überlegungen wert. Er meint, die Überschuldung und das ein Kind System würde China ruinieren…  Ich denke, das EinKindSystem kann durch Roboter überwunden werden und das Ölproblem ist durch erneuerbare Energien  zu erledigen und die Überschuldung scheint mir lösbar zu sein … Im Rahmen der Bricsentwicklung.

Bernie Sanders Tells Americans How To Defeat Trump At Union Now Event | US

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N7SjHFm_mt0

Navigation überspringenSuchenErstellen9+Avatarbild’The Good News Is…‘: Bernie Sanders Tells Americans How To Defeat Trump At Union Now Event | US

t0 ‚The Good News Is…‘:

Bernie Sanders Tells Americans How To Defeat Trump At Union Now Event | US

„Meine Anhörung in Italien | Prof. Homburg“, Covid, Corona

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VK_tQTZzek8 

China And Russia Just Changed The Rules — The West Has No Answer (Professor Jiang Analysis)  Jiang Xueqin

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5kCKtmE0VoQ

_______________________________________

he Nations That Will Collapse First, A Country By Country Economic Countdown prof jiang xuequin

Deutschland kollabiert auch schnell:  Minute 6,30…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=thMzE7CRHLg T

Israel Has Done It Again…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L4SQVHlpr_k

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